Chapter 9: Descriptive Statistics for Time-Invariant Variables
Summarize
Case Processing SummaryCase Processing Summary, table, 3 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 7 columns and 7 rows
|
Cases |
Included |
Excluded |
Total |
N |
Percent |
N |
Percent |
N |
Percent |
Attitude12: Attitudes at Age 12 |
200 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
200 |
100.0% |
PMmonitor: Person Mean Monitoring |
200 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
200 |
100.0% |
Monitor18: Monitoring at Age18 Occasion |
200 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
200 |
100.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ReportReport, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 4 columns and 7 rows
|
Attitude12: Attitudes at Age 12 |
PMmonitor: Person Mean Monitoring |
Monitor18: Monitoring at Age18 Occasion |
N |
200 |
200 |
200 |
Mean |
3.95 |
3.0754 |
3.07 |
Std. Deviation |
.602 |
.55261 |
.556 |
Minimum |
2 |
1.15 |
1 |
Maximum |
5 |
4.47 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Correlations
CorrelationsCorrelations, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 11 rows
|
PMmonitor: Person Mean Monitoring |
Monitor12: Monitoring at Age12 Occasion |
Monitor18: Monitoring at Age18 Occasion |
PMmonitor: Person Mean Monitoring |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.914 |
.740 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
.000 |
N |
200 |
200 |
200 |
Monitor12: Monitoring at Age12 Occasion |
Pearson Correlation |
.914 |
1 |
.525 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
.000 |
N |
200 |
200 |
200 |
Monitor18: Monitoring at Age18 Occasion |
Pearson Correlation |
.740 |
.525 |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
.000 |
|
N |
200 |
200 |
200 |
|
|
|
|
|
Variables to Cases
Generated VariablesGenerated Variables, table, 1 levels of column headers and 0 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 6 rows
Name |
Label |
wave |
<none> |
age |
Age12: Exact Age at Age12 Occasion |
risky |
Risky12: Risky Behavior at Age12 Occasion |
monitor |
Monitor12: Monitoring at Age12 Occasion |
|
|
Processing StatisticsProcessing Statistics, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 3 rows
Variables In |
25 |
Variables Out |
8 |
|
|
Chapter 9: Descriptive Statistics for Time-Varying Variables
Summarize
[Chapter9] C:\Dropbox\PilesOfVariance\Chapter9\SPSS\SPSS_Chapter9.sav
Case Processing SummaryCase Processing Summary, table, 3 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 7 columns and 9 rows
|
Cases |
Included |
Excluded |
Total |
N |
Percent |
N |
Percent |
N |
Percent |
age: Exact Age at Occasion |
1400 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
1400 |
100.0% |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
1400 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
1400 |
100.0% |
monitor: Monitoring at Occasion |
1400 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
1400 |
100.0% |
WPmon: Within-Person Monitoring (0=PM) |
1400 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
1400 |
100.0% |
Change18mon: WP Monitoring from Age 18 (0=Age18) |
1400 |
100.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
1400 |
100.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ReportReport, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 7 rows
|
age: Exact Age at Occasion |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
monitor: Monitoring at Occasion |
WPmon: Within-Person Monitoring (0=PM) |
Change18mon: WP Monitoring from Age 18 (0=Age18) |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
Mean |
15.00 |
19.38 |
3.08 |
.0000 |
.0078 |
Std. Deviation |
2.004 |
5.301 |
.645 |
.33376 |
.52008 |
Minimum |
12 |
10 |
1 |
-1.14 |
-2.36 |
Maximum |
18 |
36 |
5 |
1.23 |
1.71 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Correlations
CorrelationsCorrelations, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 14 rows
|
PMmon3: Person Mean Monitoring (0=3) |
Age18mon3: BP Monitoring at Age 18 (0=3) |
WPmon: Within-Person Monitoring (0=PM) |
Change18mon: WP Monitoring from Age 18 (0=Age18) |
PMmon3: Person Mean Monitoring (0=3) |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.740 |
.000 |
.271 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
1.000 |
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
Age18mon3: BP Monitoring at Age 18 (0=3) |
Pearson Correlation |
.740 |
1 |
.000 |
-.282 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
1.000 |
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
WPmon: Within-Person Monitoring (0=PM) |
Pearson Correlation |
.000 |
.000 |
1 |
.642 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
1.000 |
1.000 |
|
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
Change18mon: WP Monitoring from Age 18 (0=Age18) |
Pearson Correlation |
.271 |
-.282 |
.642 |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
|
N |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
1400 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ch 9: Empty Means, Random Intercept Model for Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
WarningsWarnings, table, 0 levels of column headers and 0 levels of row headers, table with 1 columns and 3 rows
A(n) FIXED subcommand has no specifications and will therefore be ignored. |
The covariance structure for random effect with only one level will be changed to Identity. |
|
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 7 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
Identity |
1 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
2 |
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
1674.488 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
1680.488 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
1680.505 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
1699.220 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
1696.220 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 4 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
200.000 |
6225.606 |
.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 5 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
3.075439 |
.038978 |
200.000 |
78.903 |
.000 |
2.998579 |
3.152299 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 6 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
.129868 |
.005302 |
24.495 |
.000 |
.119882 |
.140687 |
Intercept [subject = PersonID] |
Variance |
.285300 |
.030395 |
9.387 |
.000 |
.231536 |
.351548 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ch 9: Fixed Linear Age, Random Intercept Model for Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
WarningsWarnings, table, 0 levels of column headers and 0 levels of row headers, table with 1 columns and 2 rows
The covariance structure for random effect with only one level will be changed to Identity. |
|
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 8 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
Identity |
1 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
3 |
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
1674.037 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
1682.037 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
1682.065 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
1707.014 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
1703.014 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 5 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
257.712 |
5441.876 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1200.171 |
.451 |
.502 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 6 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
3.065756 |
.041559 |
257.712 |
73.769 |
.000 |
2.983918 |
3.147594 |
agec18 |
-.003229 |
.004809 |
1200.171 |
-.671 |
.502 |
-.012664 |
.006206 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 6 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
.129822 |
.005300 |
24.495 |
.000 |
.119839 |
.140636 |
Intercept [subject = PersonID] |
Variance |
.285279 |
.030392 |
9.387 |
.000 |
.231520 |
.351521 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ch 9: Random Linear Age Model for Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 9 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
4 |
|
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
1353.752 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
1365.752 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
1365.813 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
1403.218 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
1397.218 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 5 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
200.360 |
8065.736 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
199.810 |
.163 |
.687 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 6 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
3.065015 |
.034128 |
200.360 |
89.809 |
.000 |
2.997719 |
3.132312 |
agec18 |
-.003306 |
.008179 |
199.810 |
-.404 |
.687 |
-.019435 |
.012823 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
.080751 |
.003612 |
22.358 |
.000 |
.073973 |
.088149 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
.195444 |
.023332 |
8.377 |
.000 |
.154670 |
.246965 |
UN (2,1) |
-.000423 |
.004008 |
-.106 |
.916 |
-.008279 |
.007433 |
UN (2,2) |
.010494 |
.001345 |
7.804 |
.000 |
.008164 |
.013490 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ch 9: Fixed Quadratic, Random Linear Age Model for Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 10 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
5 |
|
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
1353.732 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
1367.732 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
1367.813 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
1411.442 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
1404.442 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 6 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
241.724 |
7326.493 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1089.276 |
.112 |
.738 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
1007.528 |
.020 |
.888 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 7 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
3.063499 |
.035791 |
241.724 |
85.595 |
.000 |
2.992998 |
3.134001 |
agec18 |
-.005129 |
.015329 |
1089.276 |
-.335 |
.738 |
-.035207 |
.024949 |
agec18 * agec18 |
-.000304 |
.002161 |
1007.528 |
-.141 |
.888 |
-.004545 |
.003937 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
.080749 |
.003612 |
22.358 |
.000 |
.073971 |
.088147 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
.195445 |
.023332 |
8.377 |
.000 |
.154672 |
.246967 |
UN (2,1) |
-.000424 |
.004008 |
-.106 |
.916 |
-.008280 |
.007431 |
UN (2,2) |
.010495 |
.001345 |
7.804 |
.000 |
.008164 |
.013491 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ch 9: Random Quadratic Age Model for Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
WarningsWarnings, table, 0 levels of column headers and 0 levels of row headers, table with 1 columns and 2 rows
Iteration was terminated but convergence has not been achieved. The MIXED procedure continues despite this warning. Subsequent results produced are based on the last iteration. Validity of the model fit is uncertain. |
|
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 10 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18 + agec18 * agec18b |
3 |
Unstructured |
6 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
6 |
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
1348.362 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
1368.362 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
1368.520 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
1430.804 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
1420.804 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 6 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
199.977 |
6690.928 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
194.053 |
.147 |
.702 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
177.786 |
.045 |
.833 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 7 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
3.062680 |
.037442 |
199.977 |
81.798 |
.000 |
2.988848 |
3.136512 |
agec18 |
-.006013 |
.015681 |
194.053 |
-.383 |
.702 |
-.036941 |
.024915 |
agec18 * agec18 |
-.000464 |
.002192 |
177.786 |
-.211 |
.833 |
-.004790 |
.003863 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 11 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
.080407 |
.003991 |
20.148 |
.000 |
.072953 |
.088621 |
Intercept + agec18 + agec18 * agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
.219792 |
.028168 |
7.803 |
.000 |
.170971 |
.282554 |
UN (2,1) |
.015387 |
.009306 |
1.654 |
.098 |
-.002852 |
.033627 |
UN (2,2) |
.012790 |
.005226 |
2.447 |
.014 |
.005742 |
.028489 |
UN (3,1) |
.002561 |
.001311 |
1.954 |
.051 |
-7.929404E-6 |
.005130 |
UN (3,2) |
.000263 |
.000699 |
.377 |
.706 |
-.001107 |
.001633 |
UN (3,3) |
3.045688E-5 |
.000109 |
.279 |
.781 |
2.681791E-8 |
.034590 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ch 9: Fixed Quadratic, Random Linear Age Model for Risky Behavior;
Conditional Baseline with Attitudes Predicting Linear Age Slope
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 12 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
7 |
|
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
7602.533 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
7620.533 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
7620.662 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
7676.731 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
7667.731 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 8 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
244.616 |
4435.039 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1196.436 |
181.092 |
.000 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
1010.593 |
43.615 |
.000 |
att4 |
1 |
199.568 |
32.763 |
.000 |
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
199.244 |
24.422 |
.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 9 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
23.312011 |
.350051 |
244.616 |
66.596 |
.000 |
22.622513 |
24.001509 |
agec18 |
1.964886 |
.146012 |
1196.436 |
13.457 |
.000 |
1.678419 |
2.251353 |
agec18 * agec18 |
.145047 |
.021963 |
1010.593 |
6.604 |
.000 |
.101949 |
.188146 |
att4 |
-3.155502 |
.551288 |
199.568 |
-5.724 |
.000 |
-4.242599 |
-2.068405 |
agec18 * att4 |
-.515426 |
.104298 |
199.244 |
-4.942 |
.000 |
-.721095 |
-.309757 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
8.352886 |
.373583 |
22.359 |
.000 |
7.651851 |
9.118147 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
18.080944 |
2.204651 |
8.201 |
.000 |
14.237449 |
22.962017 |
UN (2,1) |
1.884824 |
.356473 |
5.287 |
.000 |
1.186150 |
2.583497 |
UN (2,2) |
.488095 |
.079814 |
6.115 |
.000 |
.354255 |
.672502 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eq 9.1: Predicting Quadratic Change in Risky Behavior;
From Person Mean Monitoring as Between-Person Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 15 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
PMmon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
10 |
|
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
7559.552 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
7583.552 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
7583.777 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
7658.483 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
7646.483 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 11 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
251.658 |
5030.938 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1197.297 |
171.365 |
.000 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
1010.993 |
37.751 |
.000 |
att4 |
1 |
199.433 |
41.677 |
.000 |
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
199.111 |
25.486 |
.000 |
PMmon3 |
1 |
247.908 |
19.122 |
.000 |
agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
1196.257 |
2.894 |
.089 |
agec18 * agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
1008.938 |
6.882 |
.009 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 12 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
23.494465 |
.331239 |
251.658 |
70.929 |
.000 |
22.842112 |
24.146818 |
agec18 |
1.925601 |
.147098 |
1197.297 |
13.091 |
.000 |
1.637003 |
2.214198 |
agec18 * agec18 |
.136220 |
.022171 |
1010.993 |
6.144 |
.000 |
.092714 |
.179725 |
att4 |
-3.319510 |
.514191 |
199.433 |
-6.456 |
.000 |
-4.333459 |
-2.305560 |
agec18 * att4 |
-.523790 |
.103754 |
199.111 |
-5.048 |
.000 |
-.728388 |
-.319191 |
PMmon3 |
-2.590697 |
.592450 |
247.908 |
-4.373 |
.000 |
-3.757575 |
-1.423819 |
agec18 * PMmon3 |
.445448 |
.261825 |
1196.257 |
1.701 |
.089 |
-.068240 |
.959136 |
agec18 * agec18 * PMmon3 |
.103709 |
.039533 |
1008.938 |
2.623 |
.009 |
.026132 |
.181286 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
8.299339 |
.371174 |
22.360 |
.000 |
7.602824 |
9.059663 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
15.187091 |
1.913954 |
7.935 |
.000 |
11.863201 |
19.442285 |
UN (2,1) |
1.722829 |
.331757 |
5.193 |
.000 |
1.072597 |
2.373061 |
UN (2,2) |
.479356 |
.078759 |
6.086 |
.000 |
.347380 |
.661472 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 1 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 12)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.529864 |
.544936 |
263.938 |
0 |
-2.807 |
.005 |
-2.602839 |
-.456890 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 2 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 14)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-2.713146 |
.434265 |
233.728 |
0 |
-6.248 |
.000 |
-3.568719 |
-1.857573 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 3 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 16)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-3.066757 |
.455904 |
231.422 |
0 |
-6.727 |
.000 |
-3.965011 |
-2.168503 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 4 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 18)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-2.590697 |
.592450 |
247.908 |
0 |
-4.373 |
.000 |
-3.757575 |
-1.423819 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Correlations
CorrelationsCorrelations, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 4 columns and 8 rows
|
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Fixed Predicted Values |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.557 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
Fixed Predicted Values |
Pearson Correlation |
.557 |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
N |
1400 |
1400 |
|
|
|
|
Eq 9.1: Predicting Quadratic Change in Risky Behavior;
From Monitoring at Age 18 as Between-Person Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 15 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Age18mon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
10 |
|
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
7567.518 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
7591.518 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
7591.743 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
7666.449 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
7654.449 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 11 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
248.621 |
4806.788 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1197.730 |
170.553 |
.000 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
1010.322 |
36.118 |
.000 |
att4 |
1 |
199.282 |
39.734 |
.000 |
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
199.235 |
26.748 |
.000 |
Age18mon3 |
1 |
247.548 |
8.832 |
.003 |
agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
1197.221 |
6.318 |
.012 |
agec18 * agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
1010.657 |
15.523 |
.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 12 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
23.414745 |
.337724 |
248.621 |
69.331 |
.000 |
22.749580 |
24.079910 |
agec18 |
1.908314 |
.146123 |
1197.730 |
13.060 |
.000 |
1.621628 |
2.195000 |
agec18 * agec18 |
.132433 |
.022036 |
1010.322 |
6.010 |
.000 |
.089191 |
.175675 |
att4 |
-3.324226 |
.527366 |
199.282 |
-6.303 |
.000 |
-4.364159 |
-2.284292 |
agec18 * att4 |
-.532766 |
.103013 |
199.235 |
-5.172 |
.000 |
-.735902 |
-.329630 |
Age18mon3 |
-1.794050 |
.603691 |
247.548 |
-2.972 |
.003 |
-2.983076 |
-.605024 |
agec18 * Age18mon3 |
.655189 |
.260655 |
1197.221 |
2.514 |
.012 |
.143797 |
1.166582 |
agec18 * agec18 * Age18mon3 |
.154726 |
.039271 |
1010.657 |
3.940 |
.000 |
.077663 |
.231788 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
8.226300 |
.367957 |
22.357 |
.000 |
7.535825 |
8.980040 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
16.167055 |
2.009208 |
8.046 |
.000 |
12.672006 |
20.626068 |
UN (2,1) |
1.688413 |
.333815 |
5.058 |
.000 |
1.034148 |
2.342678 |
UN (2,2) |
.469156 |
.077479 |
6.055 |
.000 |
.339426 |
.648468 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 1 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 12)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-.155068 |
.556091 |
258.476 |
0 |
-.279 |
.781 |
-1.250114 |
.939979 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 2 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 14)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.939199 |
.451862 |
230.432 |
0 |
-4.292 |
.000 |
-2.829508 |
-1.048891 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 3 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 16)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-2.485527 |
.471834 |
227.858 |
0 |
-5.268 |
.000 |
-3.415242 |
-1.555812 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 4 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 18)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.794050 |
.603691 |
247.548 |
0 |
-2.972 |
.003 |
-2.983076 |
-.605024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Correlations
CorrelationsCorrelations, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 4 columns and 8 rows
|
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Fixed Predicted Values |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.525 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
Fixed Predicted Values |
Pearson Correlation |
.525 |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
N |
1400 |
1400 |
|
|
|
|
Eq 9.2: Adding Within-Person Monitoring by Quadratic Age;
Using Deviation from Person Mean Monitoring as Within-Person Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 18 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
PMmon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
WPmon |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * WPmon |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 * WPmon |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
13 |
|
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
7459.951 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
7489.951 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
7490.298 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
7583.615 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
7568.615 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 14 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
240.294 |
4864.256 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1169.511 |
183.130 |
.000 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
993.780 |
42.677 |
.000 |
att4 |
1 |
196.784 |
39.235 |
.000 |
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
184.939 |
21.868 |
.000 |
PMmon3 |
1 |
260.313 |
7.803 |
.006 |
agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
1187.485 |
8.242 |
.004 |
agec18 * agec18 * PMmon3 |
1 |
1014.486 |
9.560 |
.002 |
WPmon |
1 |
1189.573 |
17.524 |
.000 |
agec18 * WPmon |
1 |
1225.807 |
4.363 |
.037 |
agec18 * agec18 * WPmon |
1 |
1233.436 |
8.474 |
.004 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 15 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
23.469157 |
.336503 |
240.294 |
69.744 |
.000 |
22.806284 |
24.132030 |
agec18 |
1.920856 |
.141943 |
1169.511 |
13.533 |
.000 |
1.642363 |
2.199348 |
agec18 * agec18 |
.136475 |
.020891 |
993.780 |
6.533 |
.000 |
.095480 |
.177471 |
att4 |
-3.300859 |
.526975 |
196.784 |
-6.264 |
.000 |
-4.340101 |
-2.261616 |
agec18 * att4 |
-.514929 |
.110115 |
184.939 |
-4.676 |
.000 |
-.732171 |
-.297687 |
PMmon3 |
-1.730816 |
.619629 |
260.313 |
-2.793 |
.006 |
-2.950940 |
-.510692 |
agec18 * PMmon3 |
.757859 |
.263980 |
1187.485 |
2.871 |
.004 |
.239940 |
1.275777 |
agec18 * agec18 * PMmon3 |
.121873 |
.039416 |
1014.486 |
3.092 |
.002 |
.044526 |
.199220 |
WPmon |
2.547222 |
.608486 |
1189.573 |
4.186 |
.000 |
1.353396 |
3.741047 |
agec18 * WPmon |
-.952252 |
.455913 |
1225.807 |
-2.089 |
.037 |
-1.846708 |
-.057795 |
agec18 * agec18 * WPmon |
-.215876 |
.074159 |
1233.436 |
-2.911 |
.004 |
-.361369 |
-.070383 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
7.341476 |
.330939 |
22.184 |
.000 |
6.720676 |
8.019620 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
16.579089 |
2.023326 |
8.194 |
.000 |
13.052068 |
21.059206 |
UN (2,1) |
2.134336 |
.371557 |
5.744 |
.000 |
1.406099 |
2.862574 |
UN (2,2) |
.610864 |
.091911 |
6.646 |
.000 |
.454854 |
.820383 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 1 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 12)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.890536 |
.582485 |
292.545 |
0 |
-3.246 |
.001 |
-3.036928 |
-.744144 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 2 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 14)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-2.812281 |
.435077 |
233.319 |
0 |
-6.464 |
.000 |
-3.669463 |
-1.955099 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 3 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 16)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-2.759041 |
.457898 |
231.012 |
0 |
-6.025 |
.000 |
-3.661231 |
-1.856851 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 4 (Effect of PM Monitoring at Age 18)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.730816 |
.619629 |
260.313 |
0 |
-2.793 |
.006 |
-2.950940 |
-.510692 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 5 (Effect of WP Monitoring at Age 12)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
.489192 |
.649280 |
1168.887 |
0 |
.753 |
.451 |
-.784692 |
1.763077 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 6 (Effect of WP Monitoring at Age 14)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
2.902211 |
.361576 |
1069.259 |
0 |
8.027 |
.000 |
2.192732 |
3.611689 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 7 (Effect of WP Monitoring at Age 16)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
3.588221 |
.369379 |
1064.979 |
0 |
9.714 |
.000 |
2.863428 |
4.313014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 8 (Effect of WP Monitoring at Age 18)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
2.547222 |
.608486 |
1189.573 |
0 |
4.186 |
.000 |
1.353396 |
3.741047 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Correlations
CorrelationsCorrelations, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 4 columns and 8 rows
|
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Fixed Predicted Values |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.567 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
Fixed Predicted Values |
Pearson Correlation |
.567 |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
N |
1400 |
1400 |
|
|
|
|
Eq 9.2: Adding Within-Person Monitoring by Quadratic Age;
Using Change from Age 18 Monitoring as Within-Person Monitoring
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 6 columns and 18 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Fixed Effects |
Intercept |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Age18mon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Change18mon |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * Change18mon |
1 |
|
1 |
|
agec18 * agec18 * Change18mon |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Random Effects |
Intercept + agec18b |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID |
Residual |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
13 |
|
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
7503.512 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
7533.512 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
7533.859 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
7627.175 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
7612.175 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 14 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
Intercept |
1 |
237.766 |
4572.944 |
.000 |
agec18 |
1 |
1178.183 |
189.373 |
.000 |
agec18 * agec18 |
1 |
979.226 |
43.125 |
.000 |
att4 |
1 |
196.452 |
37.442 |
.000 |
agec18 * att4 |
1 |
196.642 |
26.328 |
.000 |
Age18mon3 |
1 |
242.247 |
5.138 |
.024 |
agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
1189.696 |
1.731 |
.189 |
agec18 * agec18 * Age18mon3 |
1 |
984.217 |
5.699 |
.017 |
Change18mon |
1 |
1078.346 |
29.971 |
.000 |
agec18 * Change18mon |
1 |
1060.927 |
6.417 |
.011 |
agec18 * agec18 * Change18mon |
1 |
1027.172 |
2.291 |
.130 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 15 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Intercept |
23.401296 |
.346052 |
237.766 |
67.624 |
.000 |
22.719576 |
24.083017 |
agec18 |
1.942760 |
.141176 |
1178.183 |
13.761 |
.000 |
1.665776 |
2.219744 |
agec18 * agec18 |
.138214 |
.021047 |
979.226 |
6.567 |
.000 |
.096912 |
.179516 |
att4 |
-3.332456 |
.544609 |
196.452 |
-6.119 |
.000 |
-4.406486 |
-2.258426 |
agec18 * att4 |
-.536120 |
.104484 |
196.642 |
-5.131 |
.000 |
-.742173 |
-.330066 |
Age18mon3 |
-1.410961 |
.622468 |
242.247 |
-2.267 |
.024 |
-2.637102 |
-.184821 |
agec18 * Age18mon3 |
.341165 |
.259288 |
1189.696 |
1.316 |
.189 |
-.167548 |
.849878 |
agec18 * agec18 * Age18mon3 |
.093082 |
.038991 |
984.217 |
2.387 |
.017 |
.016567 |
.169597 |
Change18mon |
4.716307 |
.861494 |
1078.346 |
5.475 |
.000 |
3.025912 |
6.406702 |
agec18 * Change18mon |
1.198141 |
.472989 |
1060.927 |
2.533 |
.011 |
.270041 |
2.126242 |
agec18 * agec18 * Change18mon |
.091866 |
.060698 |
1027.172 |
1.514 |
.130 |
-.027239 |
.210972 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 8 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Residual |
7.472182 |
.339432 |
22.014 |
.000 |
6.835664 |
8.167971 |
Intercept + agec18 [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
17.843441 |
2.156083 |
8.276 |
.000 |
14.080726 |
22.611646 |
UN (2,1) |
1.762452 |
.347050 |
5.078 |
.000 |
1.082247 |
2.442657 |
UN (2,2) |
.517721 |
.080229 |
6.453 |
.000 |
.382110 |
.701460 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 1 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 12)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-.106992 |
.592851 |
214.917 |
0 |
-.180 |
.857 |
-1.275539 |
1.061555 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 2 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 14)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.286306 |
.489550 |
212.030 |
0 |
-2.628 |
.009 |
-2.251314 |
-.321297 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 3 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 16)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.720962 |
.503707 |
231.710 |
0 |
-3.417 |
.001 |
-2.713393 |
-.728531 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 4 (Effect of Age 18 Monitoring at Age 18)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
-1.410961 |
.622468 |
242.247 |
0 |
-2.267 |
.024 |
-2.637102 |
-.184821 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 5 (Effect of Change in Monitoring at Age 12)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
.834646 |
.372255 |
702.104 |
0 |
2.242 |
.025 |
.103780 |
1.565513 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 6 (Effect of Change in Monitoring at Age 14)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
1.393602 |
.297395 |
1102.384 |
0 |
4.686 |
.000 |
.810078 |
1.977127 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 7 (Effect of Change in Monitoring at Age 16)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
2.687489 |
.323486 |
1167.773 |
0 |
8.308 |
.000 |
2.052810 |
3.322169 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Custom Hypothesis Test 8 (Effect of Change in Monitoring at Age 18)
Contrast Estimatesa,bContrast Estimates, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 9 columns and 6 rows
Contrast |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
Test Value |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
L1 |
4.716307 |
.861494 |
1078.346 |
0 |
5.475 |
.000 |
3.025912 |
6.406702 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Correlations
CorrelationsCorrelations, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 4 columns and 8 rows
|
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Fixed Predicted Values |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
Pearson Correlation |
1 |
.489 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
|
.000 |
N |
1400 |
1400 |
Fixed Predicted Values |
Pearson Correlation |
.489 |
1 |
Sig. (2-tailed) |
.000 |
|
N |
1400 |
1400 |
|
|
|
|
Variables to Cases
[Chapter9doublestacked]
Generated VariablesGenerated Variables, table, 1 levels of column headers and 0 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 4 rows
Name |
Label |
DV |
<none> |
outcome |
risky: Risky Behavior at Occasion |
|
|
Processing StatisticsProcessing Statistics, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 3 rows
Variables In |
20 |
Variables Out |
20 |
|
|
Ch 9 Eq 9.3: Multivariate Model of Risky Behavior and Monitoring;
Tricking Univariate Software
Mixed Model Analysis
Model DimensionaModel Dimension, table, 1 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 7 columns and 14 rows
|
Number of Levels |
Covariance Structure |
Number of Parameters |
Subject Variables |
Number of Subjects |
Fixed Effects |
dvR |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
dvM |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
agec18 * dvR |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
agec18 * dvM |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
agec18 * agec18 * dvR |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
att4 * dvR |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
agec18 * att4 * dvR |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
Random Effects |
dvR + dvM + agec18 * dvR + agec18 * dvMb |
4 |
Unstructured |
10 |
PersonID |
|
Repeated Effects |
DV |
2 |
Unstructured |
3 |
PersonID * occasion |
1400 |
Total |
13 |
|
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Information CriteriaaInformation Criteria, table, 0 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 2 columns and 8 rows
-2 Log Likelihood |
8784.527 |
Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) |
8824.527 |
Hurvich and Tsai's Criterion (AICC) |
8824.830 |
Bozdogan's Criterion (CAIC) |
8963.275 |
Schwarz's Bayesian Criterion (BIC) |
8943.275 |
The information criteria are displayed in smaller-is-better form. |
|
|
Fixed Effects
Type III Tests of Fixed EffectsaType III Tests of Fixed Effects, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 10 rows
Source |
Numerator df |
Denominator df |
F |
Sig. |
dvR |
1 |
239.189 |
4496.374 |
.000 |
dvM |
1 |
200.364 |
8069.471 |
.000 |
agec18 * dvR |
1 |
1185.412 |
202.985 |
.000 |
agec18 * dvM |
1 |
199.796 |
.161 |
.688 |
agec18 * agec18 * dvR |
1 |
1009.717 |
50.709 |
.000 |
att4 * dvR |
1 |
199.356 |
42.275 |
.000 |
agec18 * att4 * dvR |
1 |
198.992 |
26.704 |
.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimates of Fixed EffectsaEstimates of Fixed Effects, table, 2 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 11 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
df |
t |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
dvR |
23.313842 |
.347682 |
239.189 |
67.055 |
.000 |
22.628931 |
23.998752 |
dvM |
3.065050 |
.034120 |
200.364 |
89.830 |
.000 |
2.997768 |
3.132331 |
agec18 * dvR |
1.974272 |
.138572 |
1185.412 |
14.247 |
.000 |
1.702399 |
2.246146 |
agec18 * dvM |
-.003284 |
.008176 |
199.796 |
-.402 |
.688 |
-.019407 |
.012839 |
agec18 * agec18 * dvR |
.146555 |
.020581 |
1009.717 |
7.121 |
.000 |
.106169 |
.186940 |
att4 * dvR |
-3.332835 |
.512590 |
199.356 |
-6.502 |
.000 |
-4.343628 |
-2.322041 |
agec18 * att4 * dvR |
-.529754 |
.102514 |
198.992 |
-5.168 |
.000 |
-.731906 |
-.327601 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Covariance Parameters
Estimates of Covariance ParametersaEstimates of Covariance Parameters, table, 2 levels of column headers and 2 levels of row headers, table with 8 columns and 17 rows
Parameter |
Estimate |
Std. Error |
Wald Z |
Sig. |
95% Confidence Interval |
Lower Bound |
Upper Bound |
Repeated Measures |
UN (1,1) |
8.353840 |
.373662 |
22.357 |
.000 |
7.652660 |
9.119266 |
UN (2,1) |
.287407 |
.027527 |
10.441 |
.000 |
.233456 |
.341359 |
UN (2,2) |
.080765 |
.003613 |
22.354 |
.000 |
.073986 |
.088166 |
dvR + dvM + agec18 * dvR + agec18 * dvM [subject = PersonID] |
UN (1,1) |
18.064422 |
2.203974 |
8.196 |
.000 |
14.222374 |
22.944366 |
UN (2,1) |
-.855429 |
.168498 |
-5.077 |
.000 |
-1.185679 |
-.525179 |
UN (2,2) |
.195347 |
.023321 |
8.376 |
.000 |
.154592 |
.246847 |
UN (3,1) |
1.882911 |
.356431 |
5.283 |
.000 |
1.184320 |
2.581502 |
UN (3,2) |
-.106421 |
.030864 |
-3.448 |
.001 |
-.166914 |
-.045929 |
UN (3,3) |
.488300 |
.079835 |
6.116 |
.000 |
.354421 |
.672751 |
UN (4,1) |
.040718 |
.038794 |
1.050 |
.294 |
-.035317 |
.116754 |
UN (4,2) |
-.000472 |
.004005 |
-.118 |
.906 |
-.008322 |
.007379 |
UN (4,3) |
-.018150 |
.007344 |
-2.472 |
.013 |
-.032543 |
-.003757 |
UN (4,4) |
.010485 |
.001344 |
7.803 |
.000 |
.008156 |
.013479 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Random Effect Covariance Structure (G)aRandom Effect Covariance Structure (G), table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 5 columns and 8 rows
|
dvR | PersonID |
dvM | PersonID |
agec18 * dvR | PersonID |
agec18 * dvM | PersonID |
dvR | PersonID |
18.064422 |
-.855429 |
1.882911 |
.040718 |
dvM | PersonID |
-.855429 |
.195347 |
-.106421 |
-.000472 |
agec18 * dvR | PersonID |
1.882911 |
-.106421 |
.488300 |
-.018150 |
agec18 * dvM | PersonID |
.040718 |
-.000472 |
-.018150 |
.010485 |
Unstructured |
|
|
|
|
|
Residual Covariance (R) MatrixaResidual Covariance (R) Matrix, table, 1 levels of column headers and 1 levels of row headers, table with 3 columns and 6 rows
|
[DV = 1] |
[DV = 2] |
[DV = 1] |
8.353840 |
.287407 |
[DV = 2] |
.287407 |
.080765 |
Unstructured |
|
|
|